The gap between homes and households is expanding. The variance between household formation and available homes in the U.S. is 4.3 million.
The Widening Abyss: A Closer Look
Between 2015 and 2021, the U.S. witnessed a growth of approximately 6.3 million units in its housing stock, which comprises all houses and apartments. Conversely, the population saw an expansion of 7.9 million during the same period, creating 7.1 million new households. This population growth has exceeded the increase in housing supply, instigating an extreme scenario of dwindling availability and intensified competition for available homes. The effect is a dramatic escalation in housing costs.
Recent reports from Zillow underscore the harsh reality: The U.S. is currently grappling with a 4.3 million housing deficit. This deficiency impacts an escalating number of “missing households”— families compelled to live in homes owned or rented by others. The severe lack of housing, especially affordable options, is rendering millions of American households without a place they can truly call their own.
The Concept of Household Formation: Demystified by the Martini Mortgage Group
Household formation is a pivotal demographic phenomenon that entails creating new households. A household is typically described as an individual or group of people sharing a living space and common living arrangements.
Several scenarios illustrate household formations:
- A young adult branching out from their parent’s home to start an independent life.
- A couple embarking on their marital journey and beginning to live together.
- A roommate vacating a shared apartment, leading to the remaining individual living alone.
- A separated couple establishing separate households post-divorce.
The Raleigh Real Estate Market: A Projection
Predictions suggest that Raleigh’s population will grow 25% by 2030. Correspondingly, an upsurge in household formations is anticipated, driven by an increase in young adults establishing new households. Zillow’s research indicates a need for an additional 17,000 homes in the Raleigh metro area, based on data from 2015 to 2021. The City of Raleigh predicts an even more significant need, forecasting a requirement for an extra 57,000 homes by 2030.
The most opportune moment to invest in real estate is when you’re prepared to take the plunge. If that moment is now, the timing might be right for you. Given that the inventory of homes for sale is at its lowest level since 1982, and new construction isn’t keeping pace with demand, it could take a decade for the housing inventory to achieve balance in the U.S. This heightened demand for housing could potentially spur home appreciation.
Whether you’re a first-time or repeat homebuyer, the journey to homeownership begins with securing a home loan. Once you are approved, not just pre-qualified, you can then proceed to find your dream home. If you’re considering buying a home now or in the future, it’s advisable to consult with a Mortgage Strategist from the Martini Mortgage Group. They can assist you in securing your options and providing clarity on price and cost.