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Using the 4 stages of homebuyer demand to your Benefit

February 25, 2023 by Kevin Martini

We are living in an unprecedented time, where the real estate market is experiencing shifts in sentiment among homebuyers and homeowners caused by an information crisis about housing. As a matter of fact, there is an immense demand for housing compared to supply, and this trend is not exclusive to Raleigh, North Carolina. Across the United States, there is a 3.8 to 5 million home shortage, which is not going to be resolved anytime soon.

This shortage is not a new phenomenon and has been a long-term issue that will take years, if not decades, to resolve. However, the shortage has created a unique opportunity for homebuyers to achieve a win-win-win situation. With the right strategy, homebuyers can take advantage of the market’s current stage and secure a sweet deal.

If you’re planning to buy a home in Raleigh, North Carolina, it’s important to understand the stages of buyer demand. These four stages are represented by a four-light stoplight. The red light represents weak buyer demand, orange represents limited buyer demand, light green represents good buyer demand, and the bright green light represents strong buyer demand.

Even though the current stage of buyer demand in Raleigh is in the red and orange zones, meaning there is a low to limited buyer demand due to slightly higher mortgage rates then have been seen in recent years. As a result, this is the perfect time for homebuyers to reduce competition and take advantage of a seller’s willingness to participate, which could make the deal more attractive. This also protects the homebuyer from paying a higher premium for the same home later.

Facts About Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates live in the bond market and are not controlled by the Federal Reserve or the stock market. The inflation rate is the nemesis to the bond market, as it erodes the return of the bond. When inflation is under control, mortgage rates will drift lower. Currently, mortgage rates are in the high tides, but they are not predicted to reach double digits. Experts and pundits project that mortgage rates may start with a 4 by 2024-2025.

As a Raleigh Mortgage Broker, I know that this is the perfect time to take advantage of a seller-funded buydown. This temporary buydown provides a low rate today that can be refinanced to an even lower rate when mortgage rates fall in the future.

Certified Mortgage Broker and Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini

Furthermore, understanding the stages of buyer demand and the unique opportunities they present, along with the current state of mortgage rates, is crucial for homebuyers in Raleigh. By securing a low rate today and taking advantage of the seller’s willingness to participate, homebuyers can protect themselves from paying a higher premium for the same home later, and potentially refinance the home loan to a lower rate once the rate enters the bright green zone.

When considering buying a home, it’s important to remember that real estate is a long-term investment that goes up and makes higher highs over time. Although there may be moments of retracement, this period is just a time where real estate is recharging to make a higher high. North Carolina has experienced an average cumulative appreciation of 59.31% in the last five years and over 291% since 1991.

The pandemic was a once-in-a-generation event that provided unspeakable home loan rates and record-breaking home appreciation. However, this does not mean that homebuyers have missed out on an opportunity to secure a great deal. In fact, Kevin Martini said; “I can tell you that the best time to secure an epic mortgage rate was during the pandemic, but the next best time is right now.“

It’s important to understand that home values will go up over time due to the current shortage of supply and pure demand for housing. Although there may be moments of retracement, overtime real estate makes higher highs.

If you are thinking about buying a home in Raleigh, NC, or anywhere in the US, it is important to be aware of the current real estate market and understand the four stages of buyer demand. This knowledge will help you navigate the market and potentially maximize your advantage as a homebuyer.

Martini Mortgage Podcast, a Mortgage and Real Estate Podcast

In this episode of the Martini Mortgage Podcast, Certified Mortgage Advisor and Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini discusses the current state of the real estate market and how homebuyers can use the four stages of buyer demand to their advantage. Martini explains that there is currently a shortage of homes available in the US, which is driving up home values. This shortage is not going to be resolved anytime soon, so it is important to be prepared and understand the market.

Martini explains that the four stages of buyer demand are represented by the colors red, orange, light green, and bright green. The red light represents weak buyer demand, which occurs when the mortgage rate is greater than 7 percent. The orange light represents limited buyer demand, which occurs when the home loan rate is lower than 7 but higher than mid 6’s. The light green color represents good buyer demand, which occurs when the home loan rate is lower than mid 6 percent. Finally, the bright green color represents strong buyer demand, which occurs when fixed mortgage rates start with a 5 or below.

It is important to understand these stages because they can impact the price you pay for a home. For example, in the red and orange stages, there is less competition among homebuyers, which means sellers may be more willing to negotiate and make the deal more attractive for you. In the light green stage, there is good buyer demand, so you may have more competition, but home prices are still reasonable. In the bright green stage, there is strong buyer demand, which means prices may be higher and sellers may have more demands, such as waiving inspections or paying over list.

Martini explains that understanding the four stages of buyer demand can help you time your home purchase to your advantage. For example, if you buy during the red or orange stage, you may be able to get a good deal on a home and lock in a baseline for your home purchase, protecting you from paying a higher premium for that home later. You can then refinance the home loan to a lower rate once the rate enters the bright green zone. By taking advantage of the red and orange stages, you can reduce your competition and potentially save money.

Martini also discusses mortgage rates and inflation, explaining that mortgage rates live in the bond market and are not controlled by the Federal Reserve or the stock market. The nemesis to a bond is inflation, which can erode the return of a bond and increase its yield to attract more buyers. Higher yield means higher mortgage rates. When inflation is tamed, mortgage rates will drift lower.

Martini’s insights can be particularly valuable to those interested in buying a home in Raleigh, NC. According to a recent report by Zillow, Raleigh’s housing market is currently considered “very hot,” with home values increasing by 10.8% over the past year. The median home value in Raleigh is currently $323,312, and Zillow predicts that home values will continue to increase by 11.5% over the next year.

If you are considering buying a home in Raleigh, NC or anywhere else in the country, it’s important to work with a knowledgeable and experienced mortgage broker who can help guide you through the process. The Martini Mortgage Group at Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group is a team of mortgage strategists who are dedicated to helping families achieve their dreams of homeownership.

One of the biggest advantages of working with a mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group is that they can help you navigate the complex mortgage process, including helping you understand your options and choose the right mortgage for your needs. They can also help you determine how much you can afford to spend on a home, which is critical in a tight housing market where prices are high and competition is fierce.

In addition to helping you with the mortgage process, the Martini Mortgage Group also provides the families they serve with valuable advice on the local real estate market, including insights on housing trends and the best areas to buy a home. This can be especially important in Raleigh, which is known for its strong real estate market and high demand for housing.

One of the best ways to get started with buying a home in Raleigh is to work with a mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group since they specializes in the area. They can help you understand the unique opportunities and challenges of the local market, as well as help you find the right home and mortgage for your needs.

At the end of the day, buying a home is a major investment that requires careful planning and consideration. By understanding the 4 stages of buyer demand and working with a knowledgeable mortgage broker, you can maximize your chances of getting a great deal on a home that you will love for years to come.

In conclusion, the current real estate market is characterized by high demand and limited supply, which has led to rising home prices and increased competition among buyers. However, by understanding the 4 stages of buyer demand and working with a knowledgeable mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group, you can take advantage of the unique opportunities of the market and find the right home at the right price with the right mortgage strategy.

Filed Under: 4 Stages of Buyer Demand, Buy a Home, buydown, Buydowns, Fannie Mae, Federal Reserve, Home Loan Rates, Home Loans, Home Values, Housing Market, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Real Estate Podcast, Recession, Wake County Tagged With: 4 stagers of buyer demand, Buydown, Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Kevin Martini, Mortgage Tips, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate

Things to Know and Consider when Buying a Home (Martini Buyer Guide | Winter 2022)

December 7, 2022 by Kevin Martini

If you are a first-time homebuyer or a repeat homebuyer, there are many things one needs to know and consider when buying a home.  Certified Mortgage Advisor Kevin Martini and Senior Mortgage Strategist Logan Martini curated the Winter 2022 Martini Buyer Guide to simply explain the current real estate and mortgage markets plus vital information about buying a home and the process of getting a mortgage.  The Winter 2022 edition of the Martini Buyer Guide has many informative articles that talk about things one needs to know about the current real estate and mortgage markets. 

winter 2022 martini buyer guide
Winter 2022 Edition of Martini Buyer Guide

If you are buying real estate, if you are selling real estate, if you are refinancing a mortgage or if you work in the real estate arena then the Winter 2022 Martini Buyer Guide would be very helpful since it simply explains the current real estate and mortgage opportunity.

The Winter 2022 Martini Buyer Guide was curated to simply explain what is going on in the real estate and mortgage markets.

Logan Martini, Raleigh Mortgage Broker & Senior Mortgage Strategist

Contents of the Winter 2022 Martini Buyer Guide (things to know and consider when buying a home)

best raleigh mortgage broker logan martini

What is happening in the market?

With everything going on in the housing market right now, you may have a number of questions about what that means for you and your plans to buy a home. Here are three things that are likely top of mind for you.

  • Why did Raleigh mortgage rates rise so much in 2022?
  • What is happening with home prices in Raleigh?
  • Should I buy a home in Raleigh today?
raleigh mortgage lender martini mortgage group what is happening in the housing market page 1 of 2 winter 2022 martini buyer guide
raleigh mortgage lender martini mortgage group what is happening in the housing market page 2 of 2 winter 2022 martini buyer guide

Expert insights for today’s homebuyers

If you want to buy a home today in Raleigh or anywhere for that matter, here are a few things experts say you should know about what to expect and why homeownership is so important.

raleigh mortgage lender martini mortgage group expert insight for todays homebuyers winter 2022 martini buyer guide

Trends that are good news for Raleigh homebuyers

As the Raleigh real estate market has cooled but still remains strong, some of the intensity buyers faced during the peak frenzy of the pandemic has cooled too! Here are four trends that may be beneficial when you go to buy a home today.

  1. More homes to choose from
  2. Bidding wars have eased
  3. More negotiation power
  4. Higher loan limits
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2/1 Buydown

Increasing Raleigh mortgage rates are presenting some challenges and opportunities not just for first-time homebuyers but also to repeat homebuyers too! Leap over the challenges and into the opportunity with a creative mortgage strategy offered by the Martini Mortgage Group called a Seller Paid Buydown.

raleigh mortgage broker kevin martini steer paid buydown winter 2022 martini buyer guide
FREE BUYDOWN CALCULATOR

In most markets in North Carolina, especially in the Triangle, homebuyers will find that sellers are more willing to negotiate on price or other terms more than they have been in recent years.

Logan Martini, Raleigh Mortgage Broker & Senior Mortgage Strategist

5 traps to avoid when buying a home

raleigh mortgage broker logan martini winter 2022 martini buyer guide 5 traps to avoid when buying home 1 of 3
  1. Home shopping before a solid mortgage approval.
  2. Not considering the costs of sale.
  3. Overlooking the costs of improvements, utilities and maintenance.
  4. Using the wrong down payment strategy.
  5. Shopping for a mortgage vs. shopping for the right mortgage professional.
raleigh mortgage broker logan martini winter 2022 martini buyer guide 5 traps to avoid when buying home 2 of 3
raleigh mortgage broker logan martini winter 2022 martini buyer guide 5 traps to avoid when buying home 3 of 3

Top reasons to own your home!

  • Personal Expression
  • Accomplishment
  • Investment
  • Comfort
  • Family
  • Community
  • Privacy
  • Stability

The non-financial benefits of homeownership

While you could see less competition and more room for negotiation, you may be wondering if now’s the best time to buy a home given Raleigh mortgage rates are higher than they were last year. While the financial aspects are important to consider, there are also powerful non-financial reasons it may make sense to become a homeowner. See the full article on page 16 of the Winter 2022 edition of the Martini Buyer Guide.

Things to avoid after applying for a mortgage!

raleigh mortgage broker kevin martini winter 2022 martini buyer things to avoid after applying for a mortgage page 1 of 2
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Why buying a home makes better sense than renting

If there is a time to rent, that time is not now.

Kevin Martini, Certified Mortgage Advisor and Raleigh Mortgage Broker

The long-term benefit of homeownership

Consider this: if you know people who bought a home 5, 10, or even 30 years ago, you’re probably going to have a hard time finding someone who regrets their decision. Why is that? The reason is tied to how you gain equity and wealth as home values grow with time.

raleigh mortgage broker kevin martini winter 2022 martini buyer benefit of homeownership page1 of 2
raleigh mortgage broker kevin martini winter 2022 martini buyer benefit of homeownership page 2 of 2
Things to Know and Consider when Buying a Home (Martini Buyer Guide Winter 2022)Download

Let’s chat…

I’m sure you have questions and thoughts about securing the proper mortgage with the lowest cost of borrowing and real estate process.

We’d love to talk with you about what you’ve read in the Winter 2022 Edition of the Martini Buyer Guide and help you on the path to buying your new home. Our number is (919) 238-4934 and we look forward to working with you.

logan martini raleigh mortgage lender with martini mortgage group 2

Logan Martini

Senior Mortgage Strategist | NMLS 1591485

Logan@MartiniMortgageGroup.com

    kevin martini best raleigh mortgage broker

    Kevin Martini

    Certified Mortgage Advisor | NMLS 143962

    Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com

      Filed Under: 2-1 Buydown, Affordability, Agency Loan, Appreciation, Buy a Home, buydown, Buydowns, Conforming Loan, Conforming Loan Limits, Conventional Loan, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Home Loan Rates, Home Loans, Home Values, Housing Market, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Loan Limits, Logan Martini, Martini Buyer Guide, Mortgage, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Things to Consider when Buying a Home Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Buyer Guide, Martini Mortgage Group, MartiniBuyerGuide.com, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Raleigh Real Estate, Real Estate, Real Estate Tips, Things to know and consider when buying a home

      What is going on in Real Estate and Home Loan Rates (October 2022 Edition)

      October 9, 2022 by Kevin Martini

      What is going on in real estate and home loan rates is the name of a new monthly series being produced by the Martini Mortgage Group for the Martini Mortgage Podcast. Episode 161 is the inaugural issue.

      I truly believe episode 161 is one of the most important, if not the most important, that Logan and I have produced to date.

      Kevin Martini, Certified Mortgage Broker

      Video Edition of Martini Mortgage Podcast episode 161 called: What is going on in Real Estate and Home Loan Rates (October 2022 Edition)

      Audio Edition of Martini Mortgage Podcast episode 161 called: What is going on in Real Estate and Home Loan Rates (October 2022 Edition)

      apple podcast mortgage podcast
      spotify mortgage podcast
      iheart radio mortgage podcast

      Transcript of Martini Mortgage Podcast episode 161 called: What is going on in Real Estate and Home Loan Rates (October 2022 Edition)

      1
      00:00:00,620 –> 00:00:04,726
      [kevin_martini]: there’s a lot of scary headlines out
      there right now which are highlight in the

      2
      00:00:04,807 –> 00:00:09,895
      [kevin_martini]: sudden rise of mortgage rates the increase
      in house inventory people are now talking about

      3
      00:00:10,035 –> 00:00:15,012
      [kevin_martini]: the future of real estate and then
      you have inflation two this is a new

      4
      00:00:15,152 –> 00:00:19,645
      [kevin_martini]: special video and audio edition of the
      new monthly series from the markin mortgage group

      5
      00:00:19,725 –> 00:00:26,039
      [kevin_martini]: that we are calling what is going
      on now before i start mixing it up

      6
      00:00:26,921 –> 00:00:33,153
      [kevin_martini]: i need to make those legal folks
      happy so the primary purpose of this podcast

      7
      00:00:33,213 –> 00:00:40,165
      [kevin_martini]: series is to inform entertain and educate
      the information opinions and recommendations presented in this

      8
      00:00:40,285 –> 00:00:46,455
      [kevin_martini]: podcast series do not constitute legal or
      their professional advice opinions or endorsements of any

      9
      00:00:46,615 –> 00:00:53,226
      [kevin_martini]: kind welcome to the martini mortgage podcast
      episode one hundred and sixty one i’m calling

      10
      00:00:53,287 –> 00:00:58,973
      [kevin_martini]: it what is going on in october
      twenty twenty two inaugural issue my name is

      11
      00:00:59,073 –> 00:01:04,983
      [kevin_martini]: kevin martini and i am a certified
      mortgage advisor and producing branch manager and i’m

      12
      00:01:05,103 –> 00:01:08,629
      [kevin_martini]: less one four three nine six two
      with the martini mortgage group back gold star

      13
      00:01:08,870 –> 00:01:16,377
      [kevin_martini]: gage financial group corporation and les three
      four four six equal house seen lender with

      14
      00:01:16,477 –> 00:01:21,811
      [kevin_martini]: all that said let’s dive into the
      news on friday october seventh the bureau of

      15
      00:01:21,931 –> 00:01:29,558
      [kevin_martini]: labor statistics reported that two hundred and
      sixty three thousand jobs were created in september

      16
      00:01:29,658 –> 00:01:36,473
      [kevin_martini]: twenty twenty two and this was above
      the expectations the unemployment rate decrease from three

      17
      00:01:36,574 –> 00:01:42,724
      [kevin_martini]: point seven to three point five per
      cent to the data from these reports spook

      18
      00:01:42,864 –> 00:01:48,934
      [kevin_martini]: the markets because it provides an unofficial
      signal that the fad will continue on its

      19
      00:01:49,115 –> 00:01:55,306
      [kevin_martini]: tightening journey and it is likely to
      be very aggressive to get inflation under control

      20
      00:01:55,427 –> 00:02:02,926
      [kevin_martini]: moving forward let me be clear the
      fan needs tightening because they need to reduce

      21
      00:02:02,966 –> 00:02:10,218
      [kevin_martini]: demand in the market place and this
      reduced demand should be the thing that teams

      22
      00:02:10,278 –> 00:02:15,824
      [kevin_martini]: the beast and that beast is inflation
      it is my opinion the fed will raise

      23
      00:02:15,984 –> 00:02:22,195
      [kevin_martini]: rates in the november and december meetings
      i also believe the fed fung rate could

      24
      00:02:22,255 –> 00:02:30,295
      [kevin_martini]: be increased by one and a half
      point it is an undisputable fact we have

      25
      00:02:30,396 –> 00:02:35,865
      [kevin_martini]: not seen inflation at this level for
      decades and the fens actions to be transparent

      26
      00:02:35,945 –> 00:02:43,097
      [kevin_martini]: have helped but they’ve helped incrementally but
      inflation is still persistent and high this is

      27
      00:02:43,257 –> 00:02:49,668
      [kevin_martini]: critical because inflation is the nemesis or
      the arch enemy to mortgage rates you see

      28
      00:02:50,820 –> 00:02:55,934
      [kevin_martini]: mortgage rates are not controlled by the
      federal reserve nor do mortgage rates come from

      29
      00:02:56,015 –> 00:03:02,653
      [kevin_martini]: the stock market mortgage rates live in
      the bond market inflating a road the return

      30
      00:03:03,075 –> 00:03:08,185
      [kevin_martini]: of a bond just because there is
      inflation it does not mean the markets will

      31
      00:03:08,285 –> 00:03:14,515
      [kevin_martini]: stop in the simplest of examples market
      makers will offer a higher yield to a

      32
      00:03:14,616 –> 00:03:22,748
      [kevin_martini]: mortgage bond investor when more gage bond
      yield is increased that means mortgage rates will

      33
      00:03:22,948 –> 00:03:28,823
      [kevin_martini]: go higher now i feel that the
      feds actions will get inflation under control in

      34
      00:03:28,883 –> 00:03:34,468
      [kevin_martini]: the first quarter of twenty twenty three
      it’s critical that i share this based on

      35
      00:03:34,628 –> 00:03:40,517
      [kevin_martini]: history the fact has always been late
      to the party and they stayed too long

      36
      00:03:40,597 –> 00:03:45,305
      [kevin_martini]: to the party they were clearly too
      late to this party because they thought inflation

      37
      00:03:45,405 –> 00:03:54,367
      [kevin_martini]: was transiatory not sticky the developing story
      is what will they do when inflationary pressures

      38
      00:03:54,728 –> 00:04:02,437
      [kevin_martini]: are east stay tuned i think they
      will stay after the party is over and

      39
      00:04:02,517 –> 00:04:10,841
      [kevin_martini]: then they will promoting growth rapid massive
      growth and this growth will provide a sharp

      40
      00:04:11,242 –> 00:04:17,019
      [kevin_martini]: drop in mortgage rates by the way
      that’s just not me fan may has said

      41
      00:04:17,080 –> 00:04:24,192
      [kevin_martini]: that too let’s talk about mortgage rates
      for a hot second for some the current

      42
      00:04:24,273 –> 00:04:29,682
      [kevin_martini]: rate environment was not possible however for
      a long term fans of the martini mortgage

      43
      00:04:29,742 –> 00:04:35,176
      [kevin_martini]: podcast they were advised that this was
      likely to happen and for those new fans

      44
      00:04:35,297 –> 00:04:41,786
      [kevin_martini]: let me be clear it is probable
      that mortgage rates will get worse before they

      45
      00:04:41,846 –> 00:04:48,752
      [kevin_martini]: get better it is not unthinkable that
      mortgage rates could start with an eight sooner

      46
      00:04:49,154 –> 00:04:56,289
      [kevin_martini]: than later there are advanced strategies offered
      by myself and fellow morgan strategist logan martine

      47
      00:04:56,349 –> 00:05:02,279
      [kevin_martini]: to help today and in the future
      too if home ownership is right for you

      48
      00:05:02,459 –> 00:05:07,227
      [kevin_martini]: as first time home buyer or as
      a repeat home buyer one of the many

      49
      00:05:07,488 –> 00:05:14,900
      [kevin_martini]: options is the martini mortgage group no
      contract lock program with a free flow down

      50
      00:05:15,561 –> 00:05:22,993
      [kevin_martini]: up to ninety days this is a
      very simple program but it is very powerful

      51
      00:05:23,775 –> 00:05:29,003
      [kevin_martini]: here’s how it works a future home
      buyer ken lock their mortgage rate at to

      52
      00:05:29,084 –> 00:05:35,334
      [kevin_martini]: day’s price and that price can be
      protected for up to ninety days in the

      53
      00:05:35,414 –> 00:05:39,782
      [kevin_martini]: event there’s an improvement in the rate
      when the future home buyer goes under contract

      54
      00:05:40,183 –> 00:05:44,815
      [kevin_martini]: for their new home they will have
      the option to float the right down to

      55
      00:05:44,856 –> 00:05:53,546
      [kevin_martini]: the improved right how cool is that
      this unique no contract lock program can be

      56
      00:05:53,586 –> 00:05:59,275
      [kevin_martini]: combined with a seller paid by down
      program offered by the martini mortgage group for

      57
      00:05:59,335 –> 00:06:04,504
      [kevin_martini]: more information about the seller paid by
      down check out episode one five nine of

      58
      00:06:04,544 –> 00:06:12,057
      [kevin_martini]: the martini mortgage podcast since it explains
      it in great detail the benefits of a

      59
      00:06:12,157 –> 00:06:18,903
      [kevin_martini]: seller paid by down just give you
      a glimpse if that’s okay real belief fly

      60
      00:06:18,983 –> 00:06:23,990
      [kevin_martini]: there are three types of by downs
      there’s a one one by down there’s a

      61
      00:06:24,371 –> 00:06:30,040
      [kevin_martini]: two one by down and there’s a
      three to one by down for illustration only

      62
      00:06:30,161 –> 00:06:35,670
      [kevin_martini]: let’s assume your rate you lock with
      our no contract lock program at six per

      63
      00:06:35,730 –> 00:06:42,560
      [kevin_martini]: cent and let us assume you negotiate
      or two one seller paid buy down this

      64
      00:06:42,700 –> 00:06:47,027
      [kevin_martini]: would mean in the first year your
      rate would be four per cent and in

      65
      00:06:47,068 –> 00:06:50,914
      [kevin_martini]: the second year your rate would be
      five per cent and then it would go

      66
      00:06:51,114 –> 00:06:57,733
      [kevin_martini]: to six for your three through thirty
      seller paid buy downs are a win win

      67
      00:06:58,396 –> 00:07:06,462
      [kevin_martini]: since this program benefits both the seller
      and the buyer too it’s not just me

      68
      00:07:06,783 –> 00:07:16,610
      [kevin_martini]: but it is many experts believe that
      the mortgage rates will significantly improve towards the

      69
      00:07:16,731 –> 00:07:22,039
      [kevin_martini]: end of twenty twenty three to the
      beginning of twenty twenty four the experts that

      70
      00:07:22,140 –> 00:07:26,447
      [kevin_martini]: our bullets she that could be as
      soon as the second quarter of twenty twenty

      71
      00:07:26,487 –> 00:07:31,242
      [kevin_martini]: three to be transparen i think the
      bulls are being a little bit too aggressive

      72
      00:07:31,302 –> 00:07:36,603
      [kevin_martini]: and running too fast here is the
      punch line the home loan rate you get

      73
      00:07:36,683 –> 00:07:40,190
      [kevin_martini]: today is not likely going to be
      the home loan rate you will have in

      74
      00:07:40,230 –> 00:07:45,891
      [kevin_martini]: a couple of years because when the
      thed gets inflation under control again when not

      75
      00:07:46,071 –> 00:07:51,736
      [kevin_martini]: if and while they are staying at
      the party too long which they will there

      76
      00:07:51,876 –> 00:07:57,876
      [kevin_martini]: are going to be re finance opportunities
      according to fanny may as i said earlier

      77
      00:07:58,156 –> 00:08:04,515
      [kevin_martini]: they expect rates to start with the
      four sometime in twenty twenty three this is

      78
      00:08:04,635 –> 00:08:11,869
      [kevin_martini]: why the phrase marry the house and
      date the rate is being said so frequently

      79
      00:08:11,949 –> 00:08:20,737
      [kevin_martini]: by myself my fellow mortgage strategist logan
      martini and others let me break it down

      80
      00:08:21,770 –> 00:08:28,080
      [kevin_martini]: it is very probable that mortgage rates
      will increase over the next three to six

      81
      00:08:28,280 –> 00:08:34,497
      [kevin_martini]: months to levels that millennials have never
      seen and even some folks that are generation

      82
      00:08:34,800 –> 00:08:42,117
      [kevin_martini]: exerts mortgage rates are not the only
      thing going up rents are going up to

      83
      00:08:43,090 –> 00:08:48,900
      [kevin_martini]: don’t believe me well let me share
      the facts in rale north carolina from july

      84
      00:08:49,100 –> 00:08:54,589
      [kevin_martini]: twenty twenty one to july twenty twenty
      two rents for one bedroom apartment went up

      85
      00:08:55,250 –> 00:08:59,657
      [kevin_martini]: two point one per cent and a
      two bedroom apartment went up forty four point

      86
      00:08:59,838 –> 00:09:05,848
      [kevin_martini]: eight per cent in durham the bull
      city of north carolina for the same period

      87
      00:09:05,928 –> 00:09:11,250
      [kevin_martini]: of time to every apartment went up
      fifty four point two per cent you know

      88
      00:09:11,310 –> 00:09:17,861
      [kevin_martini]: what else is going up home values
      did you know that three point eight four

      89
      00:09:18,122 –> 00:09:24,574
      [kevin_martini]: per cent is the average annual growth
      in home prices from ten eighty nine to

      90
      00:09:24,735 –> 00:09:32,198
      [kevin_martini]: two thousand nineteen check it out i
      took out the eighteen point five per cent

      91
      00:09:32,338 –> 00:09:38,068
      [kevin_martini]: of annual appreciation per year for the
      last two years of this calculation because the

      92
      00:09:38,730 –> 00:09:46,075
      [kevin_martini]: home christ growth during the presence of
      the eagle pandemic was a typical so three

      93
      00:09:46,155 –> 00:09:52,880
      [kevin_martini]: point eight four per cent is the
      past what about the future it is my

      94
      00:09:53,001 –> 00:09:58,890
      [kevin_martini]: opinion what one person says about the
      future of home values is irrelevant for me

      95
      00:09:59,491 –> 00:10:04,239
      [kevin_martini]: and for the families the martini mortgage
      group serves the gold standard of future home

      96
      00:10:04,520 –> 00:10:10,791
      [kevin_martini]: uses the home price expectation survey done
      every quarter by pullsnomics and that is because

      97
      00:10:10,871 –> 00:10:17,091
      [kevin_martini]: it’s not one person’s opinion it is
      the opinion of over one hundred experts oh

      98
      00:10:17,191 –> 00:10:23,201
      [kevin_martini]: by the way the home price expectation
      survey is expecting a five year cumulative appreciation

      99
      00:10:23,762 –> 00:10:30,739
      [kevin_martini]: of over twenty four percent closer to
      twenty five actually let me get granular for

      100
      00:10:30,800 –> 00:10:37,347
      [kevin_martini]: a hot second let me not use
      the current forecast from the home price expectation

      101
      00:10:37,487 –> 00:10:43,959
      [kevin_martini]: survey data nor the data from the
      past twenty years prior to the evil pandemic

      102
      00:10:45,400 –> 00:10:51,792
      [kevin_martini]: let me be super conservative and let
      me just say three percent appreciation a year

      103
      00:10:52,293 –> 00:10:59,012
      [kevin_martini]: for the next five years what would
      this mean simply put a fifteen thousand dollar

      104
      00:10:59,072 –> 00:11:05,478
      [kevin_martini]: down payment on a three hundred thousand
      house could grow to sixty two thousand dollars

      105
      00:11:05,558 –> 00:11:12,033
      [kevin_martini]: over five years twenty five thousand dollar
      thou payment on a five hundred thousand dollar

      106
      00:11:12,114 –> 00:11:19,370
      [kevin_martini]: house could grow to a hundred and
      four thousand dollars in over five years a

      107
      00:11:19,590 –> 00:11:25,600
      [kevin_martini]: forty five thousand dollar down payment on
      a nine hundred thousand dollar home could grow

      108
      00:11:25,801 –> 00:11:33,723
      [kevin_martini]: to a hundred and eighty eight thousand
      dollars over five years not owning a home

      109
      00:11:34,364 –> 00:11:42,005
      [kevin_martini]: could not just cost you thousands but
      tens of thousands it’s in we all have

      110
      00:11:42,065 –> 00:11:46,902
      [kevin_martini]: to have a roof over our head
      some will rent it and when you rent

      111
      00:11:47,222 –> 00:11:52,716
      [kevin_martini]: you pay a mortgage you’re not paying
      your mortgage you’re just paying for your landlords

      112
      00:11:52,816 –> 00:11:59,365
      [kevin_martini]: mortgage for them others will own that
      roof and logan martini and myself help them

      113
      00:11:59,525 –> 00:12:05,734
      [kevin_martini]: secure the proper mortgage strategy for that
      roof let me say this another way for

      114
      00:12:05,814 –> 00:12:13,037
      [kevin_martini]: the people the back the growth in
      home appreciation has decelerated in twenty twenty two

      115
      00:12:13,398 –> 00:12:19,288
      [kevin_martini]: but just because home prices have decelerated
      it does not mean homes are going to

      116
      00:12:19,368 –> 00:12:27,025
      [kevin_martini]: depreciate in the aggregate poets are going
      to continue to appreciate and grant it in

      117
      00:12:27,245 –> 00:12:34,970
      [kevin_martini]: some markets that were extra frothy we
      may see a decline from their peak key

      118
      00:12:35,151 –> 00:12:43,426
      [kevin_martini]: word is some markets right now home
      buyers can still find opportunities and i believe

      119
      00:12:43,506 –> 00:12:52,690
      [kevin_martini]: that today a home buyer has the
      proper conditions to secure more buying power if

      120
      00:12:52,730 –> 00:12:56,817
      [kevin_martini]: you’re thinking of buying a home for
      the first time or as a repeat home

      121
      00:12:56,837 –> 00:13:02,486
      [kevin_martini]: buyer simply give a mortgage strategist with
      a martini mortgage group a jingle by dialing

      122
      00:13:02,546 –> 00:13:08,784
      [kevin_martini]: nine one nine two three eight forty
      nine thirty four because it should always be

      123
      00:13:08,885 –> 00:13:15,885
      [kevin_martini]: home long first and then go find
      your home okay okay okay let me talk

      124
      00:13:16,025 –> 00:13:21,185
      [kevin_martini]: about this elephant that’s in the room
      many good people were hurt during the housing

      125
      00:13:21,265 –> 00:13:26,734
      [kevin_martini]: crisis in two thousand eight if you
      are not directly impacted is likely that someone

      126
      00:13:26,794 –> 00:13:33,524
      [kevin_martini]: you cared about was negatively impacted is
      sad what happened during the housing crisis but

      127
      00:13:33,604 –> 00:13:39,553
      [kevin_martini]: the events that caused it are not
      present today sure the housing crisis caused the

      128
      00:13:39,633 –> 00:13:45,523
      [kevin_martini]: great recession however the great recession did
      not cause the housing crisis let me be

      129
      00:13:46,004 –> 00:13:56,492
      [kevin_martini]: crystal clear recession does not housing crisis
      today i am reminded by a quote from

      130
      00:13:56,852 –> 00:14:04,850
      [kevin_martini]: warren buffet be fearful when others are
      greedy and greedy when others are fearful i

      131
      00:14:04,890 –> 00:14:10,199
      [kevin_martini]: would like to add get educated and
      make an educated decision and was right for

      132
      00:14:10,339 –> 00:14:16,289
      [kevin_martini]: you and your family based on the
      facts not based on the headline or what

      133
      00:14:16,369 –> 00:14:22,623
      [kevin_martini]: you heard the backyard barbecue there is
      never a substitute for education and armed with

      134
      00:14:22,704 –> 00:14:29,862
      [kevin_martini]: a proper knowledge you can find right
      now it is time to be greedy because

      135
      00:14:29,963 –> 00:14:39,130
      [kevin_martini]: i have confirmation more millionaires are made
      when people are fearful inclosing home ownership is

      136
      00:14:39,311 –> 00:14:43,874
      [kevin_martini]: not right for everyone and the only
      way you can truly know if home ownership

      137
      00:14:43,954 –> 00:14:49,042
      [kevin_martini]: is right for you and your family
      is by searching for is not by searching

      138
      00:14:49,102 –> 00:14:55,070
      [kevin_martini]: for homes on line or by driving
      all over town to visit but houses the

      139
      00:14:55,230 –> 00:15:00,952
      [kevin_martini]: first step is always a home loan
      and then once you have clarity of the

      140
      00:15:01,032 –> 00:15:06,758
      [kevin_martini]: cost and the certainty that you can
      secure the proper financing for yourself and your

      141
      00:15:06,819 –> 00:15:12,174
      [kevin_martini]: family then you can make an educated
      decision if home ownership is right for you

      142
      00:15:12,756 –> 00:15:20,539
      [kevin_martini]: and your family if not it’s totally
      fine but you’re making a decision based on

      143
      00:15:20,719 –> 00:15:25,914
      [kevin_martini]: education not got but if it’s right
      for you then you can go find your

      144
      00:15:25,954 –> 00:15:32,423
      [kevin_martini]: home being lager focused and with certainty
      my name is kevin martini and my fellow

      145
      00:15:32,503 –> 00:15:37,171
      [kevin_martini]: morgan strategist is logan martini and we
      are here to help you if you have

      146
      00:15:37,251 –> 00:15:41,739
      [kevin_martini]: questions about what was in this episode
      episode one sixty one of the martini morte

      147
      00:15:41,799 –> 00:15:48,049
      [kevin_martini]: podcast no we are here our number
      is nine one nine two three eight forty

      148
      00:15:48,130 –> 00:15:55,314
      [kevin_martini]: nine thirty four we both look forward
      to help oh by the way our website

      149
      00:15:55,374 –> 00:16:02,366
      [kevin_martini]: has fresh and real information about securing
      the proper mortgage strategy along with relevant information

      150
      00:16:02,687 –> 00:16:09,994
      [kevin_martini]: on what one needs to know if
      they thinking of buying or need additional resources

      151
      00:16:10,676 –> 00:16:19,500
      [kevin_martini]: check it out by going to w
      w w martini mortgage group dot com thank

      152
      00:16:19,520 –> 00:16:24,213
      [kevin_martini]: you for tuning into this new monthly
      series called what the heck is going on

      153
      00:16:24,273 –> 00:16:29,904
      [kevin_martini]: in october twenty twenty two and thank
      you for sharing this episode with someone you

      154
      00:16:29,965 –> 00:16:33,941
      [kevin_martini]: care about peace and blessings

      Filed Under: 1-1 Seller-Paid Buydown, 2-1 Seller-Paid Buydown, 3-2-1 Seller Paid Buydown, Appreciation, Buy a Home, Buydowns, Deprecation, Fannie Mae, Fed Funds Rate, Federal Reserve, Home Loan Rates, Home Loans, Home Price Expectation Survey, Home Values, Housing, Housing Market, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Real Estate Podcast, Recession, Wake County Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Mortgage Group, Martini Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Tips, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate, Real Estate Markets, Real Estate Podcast

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