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Understanding Mortgage Rates in Raleigh: Expert Analysis and Insights from Martini Mortgage Group

March 2, 2023 by Kevin Martini

Raleigh mortgage rates have been a topic of concern for homebuyers and real estate professionals as they have drifted higher in February 2023. As February 2023 ended and March 2023 has started, the bond market has seen several days of consolidation. This has led to uncertainty about the future direction of mortgage rates, and many are wondering whether they will continue to rise or fall.

Raleigh Mortgage Market Update with Kevin Martini (video edition of Martini Factor produced 03.02.2023)

  • Consolidation occurs when the market trades within a range or trades sideways.
  • No one can predict whether the market will move up or down until there is a catalyst.
  • The Stochastic indicator is used to analyze the technical aspects of the bond market.
  • Higher bond prices lead to lower mortgage rates.
  • The Federal Reserve has a significant impact on mortgage rates.
  • Inflation and unemployment are fundamental factors that affect mortgage rates.
  • The Employment Report and CPI data are potential catalysts for mortgage rates.
  • Understanding the four stages of buyer demand can help homebuyers make the most of the current environment.

Expert Analysis and Insights by Kevin Martini

Over the last 7 trading days, the market has seen consolidation, which is when the market trades within a range or trades sideways. Until there is a catalyst, no one can predict whether the market will move up or down. However, once consolidation is broken, it may lead to a bigger move up or down. This is why the Martini Mortgage Group deploys technical analysis to help the families they serve.

From a technical perspective, we have to look at the stochastic. For Certified Mortgage Advisor and Raleigh mortgage broker Kevin Martini, the catalyst is when the stochastic goes over 20%, because that means momentum is shifting. Right now, momentum is towards the downside. To support this thesis, let’s look at October 2022 and January 2023. There was a move above 20% on the stochastic, which was the catalyst for higher bond prices. When there are higher bond prices, there is a lower yield, which means lower mortgage rates.

expert analysis and insights by raleigh mortgage broker kevin martini

Currently, there is consolidation in the market, and it is trying to form a base. From a fundamental point of view, there is not a lot of news that is going to move the market, in Kevin Martini’s opinion. There is potential for more downside based on technicals.

Where are Raleigh mortgage rates headed?

So where are Raleigh mortgage rates going? Is the bond price going to rise and cause lower Raleigh mortgage rates or are bond prices going to go lower and cause even higher Raleigh mortgage rates? The Martini Mortgage Group has two days on the radar as a catalyst. The first is March 10th when the Employment Report is released, and the second is March 14th with the release of the CPI data.

It is Kevin Martini’s opinion that these reports will improve mortgage rates, but there are no guarantees. If March 10th and 14th work out the way he predicts, it is optimistic to think we will get to the 200-day moving average, but it is possible to get to the 50-day moving average. If that happens, there will be an improvement in Raleigh mortgage rates.

Despite the current uncertainty, there is still an opportunity for homebuyers. In fact, it is an epic opportunity for a homebuyer. To maximize this opportunity, homebuyers must understand the four stages of buyer demand. These four stages are Awareness, Interest, Desire, and Action. Understanding these stages can help homebuyers make the most of the current market conditions.

martini mortgage podcast with raleigh mortgage lender kevin martini

If you are a homebuyer or if you work in the real estate community, it is essential to understand these stages. There was a great episode of the Martini Mortgage podcast, episode 173, called “4 Stages of Buyer Demand”. Perhaps a better name for this episode would be: “How homebuyers can use the 4 stages of homebuyer demand to maximize advantage”.

In closing, Raleigh mortgage rates have drifted higher in February 2023, and the bond market has seen several days of consolidation. The technicals indicate that momentum is towards the downside, but there is potential for improvement based on the upcoming Employment Report and CPI data. Homebuyers must understand the four stages of buyer demand to maximize the opportunity in the current market conditions. If you have any questions about the current state of the market or about mortgage rates in Raleigh, give Kevin Martini or his business partner and fellow mortgage strategist Logan Martini a call by dialing (919) 238-4934.

3 FAQ for Homebuyers to Know About Raleigh Mortgage Rates

Q: What is the bond market, and how does it affect mortgage rates in Raleigh?

A: The bond market is a financial marketplace where investors buy and sell bonds. Raleigh mortgage rates live in the bond market because the prices of bonds influence mortgage rates. When bond prices are high, mortgage rates are low, and vice versa.

Q: What is the Stochastic indicator, and why is it essential for analyzing the bond market?

A: The Stochastic indicator is a technical analysis tool that measures the momentum of a financial asset. It is used to analyze the bond market because it can help predict when the market is about to shift.

Q: What are the potential catalysts for Raleigh mortgage rates in March 2023?

A: The Employment Report, which is released on March 10th, and the CPI data, which is released on March 14th, are potential catalysts for Raleigh mortgage rates.

Martini Factor

Raleigh mortgage rates have drifted higher in February 2023, but the current market environment presents an epic opportunity for homebuyers. Understanding the technical and fundamental factors that affect mortgage rates can help individuals make informed decisions about their financial future. Moreover, knowing the four stages of buyer demand is critcal.

Filed Under: Home Loans, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Factor, Martini Mortgage Podcast, MartiniFactor, Mortgage, Mortgage Broker, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh Mortgage Rates Tagged With: Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Factor, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Rates

Using the 4 stages of homebuyer demand to your Benefit

February 25, 2023 by Kevin Martini

We are living in an unprecedented time, where the real estate market is experiencing shifts in sentiment among homebuyers and homeowners caused by an information crisis about housing. As a matter of fact, there is an immense demand for housing compared to supply, and this trend is not exclusive to Raleigh, North Carolina. Across the United States, there is a 3.8 to 5 million home shortage, which is not going to be resolved anytime soon.

This shortage is not a new phenomenon and has been a long-term issue that will take years, if not decades, to resolve. However, the shortage has created a unique opportunity for homebuyers to achieve a win-win-win situation. With the right strategy, homebuyers can take advantage of the market’s current stage and secure a sweet deal.

If you’re planning to buy a home in Raleigh, North Carolina, it’s important to understand the stages of buyer demand. These four stages are represented by a four-light stoplight. The red light represents weak buyer demand, orange represents limited buyer demand, light green represents good buyer demand, and the bright green light represents strong buyer demand.

Even though the current stage of buyer demand in Raleigh is in the red and orange zones, meaning there is a low to limited buyer demand due to slightly higher mortgage rates then have been seen in recent years. As a result, this is the perfect time for homebuyers to reduce competition and take advantage of a seller’s willingness to participate, which could make the deal more attractive. This also protects the homebuyer from paying a higher premium for the same home later.

Facts About Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates live in the bond market and are not controlled by the Federal Reserve or the stock market. The inflation rate is the nemesis to the bond market, as it erodes the return of the bond. When inflation is under control, mortgage rates will drift lower. Currently, mortgage rates are in the high tides, but they are not predicted to reach double digits. Experts and pundits project that mortgage rates may start with a 4 by 2024-2025.

As a Raleigh Mortgage Broker, I know that this is the perfect time to take advantage of a seller-funded buydown. This temporary buydown provides a low rate today that can be refinanced to an even lower rate when mortgage rates fall in the future.

Certified Mortgage Broker and Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini

Furthermore, understanding the stages of buyer demand and the unique opportunities they present, along with the current state of mortgage rates, is crucial for homebuyers in Raleigh. By securing a low rate today and taking advantage of the seller’s willingness to participate, homebuyers can protect themselves from paying a higher premium for the same home later, and potentially refinance the home loan to a lower rate once the rate enters the bright green zone.

When considering buying a home, it’s important to remember that real estate is a long-term investment that goes up and makes higher highs over time. Although there may be moments of retracement, this period is just a time where real estate is recharging to make a higher high. North Carolina has experienced an average cumulative appreciation of 59.31% in the last five years and over 291% since 1991.

The pandemic was a once-in-a-generation event that provided unspeakable home loan rates and record-breaking home appreciation. However, this does not mean that homebuyers have missed out on an opportunity to secure a great deal. In fact, Kevin Martini said; “I can tell you that the best time to secure an epic mortgage rate was during the pandemic, but the next best time is right now.“

It’s important to understand that home values will go up over time due to the current shortage of supply and pure demand for housing. Although there may be moments of retracement, overtime real estate makes higher highs.

If you are thinking about buying a home in Raleigh, NC, or anywhere in the US, it is important to be aware of the current real estate market and understand the four stages of buyer demand. This knowledge will help you navigate the market and potentially maximize your advantage as a homebuyer.

Martini Mortgage Podcast, a Mortgage and Real Estate Podcast

In this episode of the Martini Mortgage Podcast, Certified Mortgage Advisor and Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini discusses the current state of the real estate market and how homebuyers can use the four stages of buyer demand to their advantage. Martini explains that there is currently a shortage of homes available in the US, which is driving up home values. This shortage is not going to be resolved anytime soon, so it is important to be prepared and understand the market.

Martini explains that the four stages of buyer demand are represented by the colors red, orange, light green, and bright green. The red light represents weak buyer demand, which occurs when the mortgage rate is greater than 7 percent. The orange light represents limited buyer demand, which occurs when the home loan rate is lower than 7 but higher than mid 6’s. The light green color represents good buyer demand, which occurs when the home loan rate is lower than mid 6 percent. Finally, the bright green color represents strong buyer demand, which occurs when fixed mortgage rates start with a 5 or below.

It is important to understand these stages because they can impact the price you pay for a home. For example, in the red and orange stages, there is less competition among homebuyers, which means sellers may be more willing to negotiate and make the deal more attractive for you. In the light green stage, there is good buyer demand, so you may have more competition, but home prices are still reasonable. In the bright green stage, there is strong buyer demand, which means prices may be higher and sellers may have more demands, such as waiving inspections or paying over list.

Martini explains that understanding the four stages of buyer demand can help you time your home purchase to your advantage. For example, if you buy during the red or orange stage, you may be able to get a good deal on a home and lock in a baseline for your home purchase, protecting you from paying a higher premium for that home later. You can then refinance the home loan to a lower rate once the rate enters the bright green zone. By taking advantage of the red and orange stages, you can reduce your competition and potentially save money.

Martini also discusses mortgage rates and inflation, explaining that mortgage rates live in the bond market and are not controlled by the Federal Reserve or the stock market. The nemesis to a bond is inflation, which can erode the return of a bond and increase its yield to attract more buyers. Higher yield means higher mortgage rates. When inflation is tamed, mortgage rates will drift lower.

Martini’s insights can be particularly valuable to those interested in buying a home in Raleigh, NC. According to a recent report by Zillow, Raleigh’s housing market is currently considered “very hot,” with home values increasing by 10.8% over the past year. The median home value in Raleigh is currently $323,312, and Zillow predicts that home values will continue to increase by 11.5% over the next year.

If you are considering buying a home in Raleigh, NC or anywhere else in the country, it’s important to work with a knowledgeable and experienced mortgage broker who can help guide you through the process. The Martini Mortgage Group at Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group is a team of mortgage strategists who are dedicated to helping families achieve their dreams of homeownership.

One of the biggest advantages of working with a mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group is that they can help you navigate the complex mortgage process, including helping you understand your options and choose the right mortgage for your needs. They can also help you determine how much you can afford to spend on a home, which is critical in a tight housing market where prices are high and competition is fierce.

In addition to helping you with the mortgage process, the Martini Mortgage Group also provides the families they serve with valuable advice on the local real estate market, including insights on housing trends and the best areas to buy a home. This can be especially important in Raleigh, which is known for its strong real estate market and high demand for housing.

One of the best ways to get started with buying a home in Raleigh is to work with a mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group since they specializes in the area. They can help you understand the unique opportunities and challenges of the local market, as well as help you find the right home and mortgage for your needs.

At the end of the day, buying a home is a major investment that requires careful planning and consideration. By understanding the 4 stages of buyer demand and working with a knowledgeable mortgage broker, you can maximize your chances of getting a great deal on a home that you will love for years to come.

In conclusion, the current real estate market is characterized by high demand and limited supply, which has led to rising home prices and increased competition among buyers. However, by understanding the 4 stages of buyer demand and working with a knowledgeable mortgage strategist with the Martini Mortgage Group, you can take advantage of the unique opportunities of the market and find the right home at the right price with the right mortgage strategy.

Filed Under: 4 Stages of Buyer Demand, Buy a Home, buydown, Buydowns, Fannie Mae, Federal Reserve, Home Loan Rates, Home Loans, Home Values, Housing Market, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Real Estate Podcast, Recession, Wake County Tagged With: 4 stagers of buyer demand, Buydown, Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Kevin Martini, Mortgage Tips, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate

First-Time Homebuyers Tax Credit | Martini Mortgage Group

February 5, 2023 by Kevin Martini

Many first-time homebuyers in North Carolina may be eligible to save up to $2,000 a year with the Mortgage Credit Certificate (MCC) offered by the Martini Mortgage Group in partnership with North Carolina Housing and Finance Agency (NCHFA).  This tax credit is not just for the first year, it is up to $2,000 every year as long as the home remains your primary residence.  

A MCC allows eligible first-time homebuyers to receive a federal tax credit of 30% of the mortgage interest paid annually on existing homes (50% on new construction). If you are one of the many that will qualify, you could save up to $2,000 per year on your federal tax liability.

Martini Mortgage Podcast Special Episode 172: Tax Credit 

Difference between Tax Credits and Tax Deductions

Understanding the difference between tax credits and tax deductions can help reduce your tax burden. A tax credit directly reduces the amount you owe to the government, while a tax deduction reduces your taxable income. With the MCC you are able to get both, assuming you itemize your tax return.

Imagine that after all eligible deductions are taken out of an individual’s income, they come to be taxed on $50,000. For example, a tax credit of $2,000 in this case would help reduce the tax liability from $5,000 (at a rate of 10%) to $3,000 – for a tax savings of $2,000 overall.

A tax credit directly reduces the amount of tax you owe dollar-for-dollar.  So a $2,000 tax credit lowers your tax by $2,000. 

Kevin Martini | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Raleigh Mortgage Broker

On the other hand, if this person were able to have their taxable income reduced from $50,000 to $47,500 through a tax deduction of $2,500 – their tax bill would be significantly lower at just $4,750 (from previously calculated: 10% x 50000 = 5000). Clearly understanding the difference between tax credits and tax deductions could result in significant savings for individuals or companies who are filing returns with the government.

best raleigh mortgage broker logan martini 507 n blount st raleigh nc 27604 1024x424

To learn more about tax benefits of owning a home and having a mortgage, check out this informative article called: Tax Benefits to Owning a Home and Having a Mortgage

Are you eligible?

You may be eligible if:

  • you are a first-time homebuyer or military veteran or buying in a targeted census tract
  • you meet the income limits and sales price limits
  • you are purchasing a home in North Carolina
  • you will occupy the home as your primary residence within 60-days of closing
  • you are a legal resident of the U.S.

To determine your eligibility and property eligibility, contact either Kevin Martini or Logan Martini with the Martini Mortgage Group.

best raleigh mortgage logan martini
certified mortgage advisor kevin martini

Filed Under: Buy a Home, Home Mortgage Interest Deduction, Housing, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Podcast, MCC, Mortgage, Mortgage Credit Certificate, Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage Rates, NCHFA, North Carolina Housing and Finance Agency, Raleigh, Real Estate, Standard Deduction, Tax Benefits, Wake County Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, First-time Homebuyer Tax Credit, Gold Star Mortgage, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Podcast, MCC, Mortgage Credit Certificate, Mortgage Podcast, NCHFA, North Carolina Housing Finance Agency, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Real Estate Podcast, Tax Credit

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