Schedule a time with a Loan Officer
Apply Now

Mortgage Lenders in Raleigh NC

  • Buy A Home
  • Refinance
  • Learning Center
  • About
  • Contact
(919) 238-4934
CALL US TODAY! (919) 238-4934
  • Buy a Home
  • Refinance
  • Learning Center
  • About
  • Contact
  • Buy a Home
  • Refinance
  • Learning Center
  • About
  • Contact

The Logan Martini Market Update (June 6, 2022)

June 6, 2022 by Kevin Martini

Raleigh mortgage broker and mortgage strategist, Logan Martini, shares what happened last week and what to expect this week in the Logan Martini Market Update (week ending June 10, 2022).

LAST WEEK IN THE REAL ESTATE & MORTGAGE MARKETS

Last week 2 important pieces of data were released; the Unemployment Rate held steady in May 2022 and home appreciation surged.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, what does it really show?

390,000 jobs were created in May and that was stronger than the 320,000 expectations however there were negative revisions to the data for previous months (e.g. March & April) which diluted the number some. It is important to know that the headline Unemployment Rate removes people who are not actively searching for a job and there were almost 6 million people that are not being counted who “want a job” but have not looked in the last four weeks. The U-6 all-in unemployment rate, which adds back all these individuals and is more indicative of the true unemployment rate, increased for the second month in a row, rising from 7% to 7.1%. This could be a signal on unemployment and a sign that things are slowing, and we may have seen the low in unemployment.

HOME PRICES are higher today than a year ago!

The Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed home prices rose 2.6% in March and 20.6% year-over-year. This annual reading is an increase from the 19.8% gain in the previous report.  If this pace of monthly appreciation continues, and we are showing no reason why it would not, appreciation could be over 30% this year!

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also released their House Price Index. This report measures home price appreciation on single-family homes with conventional loan amounts, which means it most likely represents lower-priced homes. Home prices rose 1.5% in March and 19% year-over-year.

Up, up & up are rents according to the Apartment List’s National Rent Report which revealed that rents increased by 1.2% in May and 15.3% year-over-year.

THIS WEEK IN THE RALEIGH MORTGAGE MARKETS

The economic calendar is quiet this week, except for May’s consumer inflation report scheduled for release on Friday. The market is expecting year-over-year consumer inflation to come in at 8.3%, which would be consistent with April’s inflation rate.

There won’t be any speeches from Fed policymakers this week, due to their one-week “blackout” period before their monetary policy meeting. This may contribute to the uneasy silence and tension in the market this week. Are we in the calm before the storm?

On Friday, the calm may be disrupted if Friday’s inflation numbers come out above or below market expectations. At this point, the market is expecting the Fed to increase short-term interest rates by 0.5% at their monetary policy meeting next week. It will be interesting to see if the odds change toward a more aggressive stance after Friday’s inflation report.

The Martini Mortgage Group will not just be watching for the inflation report that will be released on Friday but will be closely watching the Wednesday’s10-year Note and Thursday 30-year Bond auctions for demand.

THE LOGAN MARTINI BOTTOM LINE

Be prepared for more volatility and remember, right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. From a historical perspective, home loan rates are still very low even with the upward movement in 2022. Mortgage Strategists with the Martini Mortgage Group are here to talk about what you have just read and available to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Logan Martini

logan martini raleigh mortgage lender with martini mortgage group 2

Logan Martini | NMLS 1591485 | Senior Mortgage Strategist | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | [email protected] | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: Appreciation, Buy a Home, Fed Funds Rate, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Home Values, Housing Market, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Mortgage Rates, Nonfarm Payrolls, Real Estate, Wake County Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Mortgage Markets, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Company, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate

The MartiniFactor | last week and this week with real estate and mortgage rates | May 6, 2022

May 2, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The MartiniFactor is produced by Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini and it provides a glimpse of what happened last week in real estate and in the mortgage arena.  In addition, it shares thoughts on what to keep on the radar for the week ahead in the mortgage markets.

Last week (4/29/2022) & this week (5/6/2022)

LAST WEEK IN THE REAL ESTATE & MORTAGE MARKETS

CoreLogic released their Single-Family Rent Index this week and it showed that rents were up 13.1% Year-over-Year in February. Clearly now it is not the time to rent however it may be the time to explore the opportunity to invest and create a real estate portfolio.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) illuminated that growth was down 1.4%. This decline is a potential sign of a recession but remember, sometimes you can be in and out of a recession before you even know it since, first quarter GDP will be revised 2-times and the final number is not inked until June 2022. Remember, a recession is two consecutive quarters of a downward shift of economic data hence, we won’t know until Fall of 2022 if a recession is happening or ha happened.

The Federal Reserves favorite measure of inflation is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). PCE indicated last week that inflation rose 0.9% in March and that was much higher than what was expected. The Core rate, which takes out food and energy was up 0.3%. Yes, inflation remains at a 40-year high!

THIS WEEK IN THE MORTGAGE MARKETS

Economic News Calendar

Monday – 5/2/22

ISM Manufacturing

Construction Spending

Tuesday – 5/3/22

Reserve Bank of Australia

Factory Orders

JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey)

Wednesday – 5/4/22

ADP Private Payroll

Trade Balance

ISM Non-Manufacturing

Fed Interest Rate Decision

Fed Chair Powell Speaks

Thursday – 5/5/22

Bank of England

Challenger Job Cuts

Initial Jobless Claims

Nonfarm Productivity

Unit Labor Costs

Friday- 5/6/22

Nonfarm Paytolls

Average Hourly Earnings (month-over-month)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-over-year)

Average Weekly Hours

Unemployment Rate

This week home loan rates may significantly be impacted by the wealth of important economic news. ADP Private Payrolls and the Jobs Reports will be released plus the Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate decision. It is the opinion of the Martini Mortgage Group, the Federal Reserve will hike 0.5% however the real story for Raleigh mortgage rates is what will the Federal Reserve do with their balance sheet which includes mortgage bonds.

The Federal Reserve increasing the Federal Funds Rate has no significant impact on Raleigh mortgage rates. Credit card rates, Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC) and car loans, for example, are based on the Prime Rate and the Prime Rate is based on the Federal Funds Rate. So a hike of the Federal Funds Rate will no impact Raleigh home loan rates. However, $2.9 trillion is the number of mortgage bonds purchased by the Federal Reserve since March 2020. The reduction of the Federal Reserves holdings of these mortgage bonds could drive up Raleigh home loan rates.

The Federal Reserve is expected to reverse course and start selling its massive, 2.9 trillion of bonds as early as June. When that happens, other central banks across the world may follow suit. This means the already-stressed bond market may be in for a massive deluge of supply in the coming months, which could put more upward pressure on interest rates. Wednesday’s announcement from the Federal Reserve is so important to the bond market, and why mortgage rates may be impacted.

THE MARTINI MORTGAGE GROUP BOTTOM LINE

Be prepared for more volatility and remember, right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. From a historical perspective, home loan rates are still very low even with the upward movement in 2022. Mortgage Strategists with the Martini Mortgage Group are here to talk about what you have just read and available to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Kevin Martini

kevin martini best raleigh mortgage broker

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | [email protected] | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Logan Martini

Logan Martini | NMLS 1591485 | Senior Mortgage Strategist | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | [email protected] | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

logan martini raleigh mortgage lender with martini mortgage group 2

Filed Under: Buy a Home, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Home Loan Rates, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, MartiniFactor, Mortgage, Mortgage Rates, Nonfarm Payrolls, Raleigh, Rental Property Tagged With: Federal Reserve, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Mortgage Tips, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender

    Contact Form


    to Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | TCPA Consent * By submitting you agree to our Privacy Policy, Online Policy, TCPA Disclosure & Consent for SMS/Texting. Msg/data rates may apply. This consent applies even if you are on a corporate, state or national Do Not Call list. By checking this box, you expressly consent that Martini Mortgage Group may call, text and email you about your inquiry. This may involve the use of automated means and prerecorded/artificial voices. This consent is not a condition to purchase any products or services. You are providing express written consent under the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) to be contacted by Martini Mortgage Group. You may revoke this consent at any time by replying 'STOP' to any text message you receive or by contacting us at +1(919) 238-4934.

    Quick Links
    • Buy A Home
    • Refinance
    • Learning Center
    • Contact
    • About
    • Blog
    • Apply Now
    Loan Options
    • Conventional
    • FHA
    • VA
    • Jumbo
    • Reverse Mortgages
    • Cash-out Refinance
    • First Time Home Buyers
    • Bank Statement Loans
    • USDA
    • DSCR
    Resources
    • Home Purchase Qualifier
    • Refinance Analysis
    • Search Homes For Sale
    • Home Value Estimate
    • Mortgage Calculator
    • Mortgage Process
    • FAQs
    • Living in Raleigh
    • Podcast
    Contact
    • Martini Mortgage Group
      507 N Blount St
      Raleigh, NC 27604
    • Find us on Google

    • Phone: (919) 238-4934
    • NMLS# 143962
    Martini Mortgage Group at Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group

    Copyright © Martini Mortgage Group | All Rights Reserved.
    Terms of Use | Privacy Policy

    FacebookTwitterLinkedinYoutubeInstagram
    Equal Housing Lender

    Martini Mortgage Group at Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation | NMLS # 3446 | For licensing information go to: www.nmlsConsumerAccess.org and/or www.GoldStarFinancial.com Please review our Disclosures & Licensing information | Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group Corporation has no affiliation with the US Department of Housing and Urban Development, the US Department of Veterans Affairs, the US Department of Agriculture or any other government agency. Equal Housing Lender. For further information about Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation, please visit our website at www.GoldStarFinancial.com. Receipt of application does not represent an approval for financing or interest rate guarantee. Applicant subject to credit, acceptable appraisal, title, and underwriting approval. Not all applicants will be approved. Other terms and conditions apply. Contact Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation for more information and up-to-date rates.

      Contact Form


      to Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | TCPA Consent * By submitting you agree to our Privacy Policy, Online Policy, TCPA Disclosure & Consent for SMS/Texting. Msg/data rates may apply. This consent applies even if you are on a corporate, state or national Do Not Call list. By checking this box, you expressly consent that Martini Mortgage Group may call, text and email you about your inquiry. This may involve the use of automated means and prerecorded/artificial voices. This consent is not a condition to purchase any products or services. You are providing express written consent under the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) to be contacted by Martini Mortgage Group. You may revoke this consent at any time by replying 'STOP' to any text message you receive or by contacting us at +1(919) 238-4934.

      Copyright © 2025 · Martini Mortgage Group on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in