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The MartiniFactor | last week and this week with real estate and mortgage rates | May 6, 2022

May 2, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The MartiniFactor is produced by Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini and it provides a glimpse of what happened last week in real estate and in the mortgage arena.  In addition, it shares thoughts on what to keep on the radar for the week ahead in the mortgage markets.

Last week (4/29/2022) & this week (5/6/2022)

LAST WEEK IN THE REAL ESTATE & MORTAGE MARKETS

CoreLogic released their Single-Family Rent Index this week and it showed that rents were up 13.1% Year-over-Year in February. Clearly now it is not the time to rent however it may be the time to explore the opportunity to invest and create a real estate portfolio.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) illuminated that growth was down 1.4%. This decline is a potential sign of a recession but remember, sometimes you can be in and out of a recession before you even know it since, first quarter GDP will be revised 2-times and the final number is not inked until June 2022. Remember, a recession is two consecutive quarters of a downward shift of economic data hence, we won’t know until Fall of 2022 if a recession is happening or ha happened.

The Federal Reserves favorite measure of inflation is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). PCE indicated last week that inflation rose 0.9% in March and that was much higher than what was expected. The Core rate, which takes out food and energy was up 0.3%. Yes, inflation remains at a 40-year high!

THIS WEEK IN THE MORTGAGE MARKETS

Economic News Calendar

Monday – 5/2/22

ISM Manufacturing

Construction Spending

Tuesday – 5/3/22

Reserve Bank of Australia

Factory Orders

JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey)

Wednesday – 5/4/22

ADP Private Payroll

Trade Balance

ISM Non-Manufacturing

Fed Interest Rate Decision

Fed Chair Powell Speaks

Thursday – 5/5/22

Bank of England

Challenger Job Cuts

Initial Jobless Claims

Nonfarm Productivity

Unit Labor Costs

Friday- 5/6/22

Nonfarm Paytolls

Average Hourly Earnings (month-over-month)

Average Hourly Earnings (year-over-year)

Average Weekly Hours

Unemployment Rate

This week home loan rates may significantly be impacted by the wealth of important economic news. ADP Private Payrolls and the Jobs Reports will be released plus the Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate decision. It is the opinion of the Martini Mortgage Group, the Federal Reserve will hike 0.5% however the real story for Raleigh mortgage rates is what will the Federal Reserve do with their balance sheet which includes mortgage bonds.

The Federal Reserve increasing the Federal Funds Rate has no significant impact on Raleigh mortgage rates. Credit card rates, Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC) and car loans, for example, are based on the Prime Rate and the Prime Rate is based on the Federal Funds Rate. So a hike of the Federal Funds Rate will no impact Raleigh home loan rates. However, $2.9 trillion is the number of mortgage bonds purchased by the Federal Reserve since March 2020. The reduction of the Federal Reserves holdings of these mortgage bonds could drive up Raleigh home loan rates.

The Federal Reserve is expected to reverse course and start selling its massive, 2.9 trillion of bonds as early as June. When that happens, other central banks across the world may follow suit. This means the already-stressed bond market may be in for a massive deluge of supply in the coming months, which could put more upward pressure on interest rates. Wednesday’s announcement from the Federal Reserve is so important to the bond market, and why mortgage rates may be impacted.

THE MARTINI MORTGAGE GROUP BOTTOM LINE

Be prepared for more volatility and remember, right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. From a historical perspective, home loan rates are still very low even with the upward movement in 2022. Mortgage Strategists with the Martini Mortgage Group are here to talk about what you have just read and available to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Kevin Martini

kevin martini best raleigh mortgage broker

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Logan Martini

Logan Martini | NMLS 1591485 | Senior Mortgage Strategist | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Logan@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

logan martini raleigh mortgage lender with martini mortgage group 2

Filed Under: Buy a Home, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Home Loan Rates, Inflation, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, MartiniFactor, Mortgage, Mortgage Rates, Nonfarm Payrolls, Raleigh, Rental Property Tagged With: Federal Reserve, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Mortgage Tips, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender

The Big Opportunity In Raleigh is Owning Rental Properties

May 1, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The big opportunity today to create generational wealth is in real estate; not just as a homeowner but also as a real estate investor. Episode 141 of the Martini Mortgage Podcast unpacks just 3 financial benefits of owning an investment property; passive income, tax benefits and appreciation.

Questions, just ask the Martini Mortgage Group

Let’s connect to discuss how to add an investment property to your portfolio or to talk about acquiring your first rental property. 

logan martini raleigh mortgage lender with martini mortgage group 2

Logan Martini | NMLS 1591485 | Senior Mortgage Strategist | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Logan@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

kevin martini best raleigh mortgage broker

Martini Mortgage Podcast Episode 141 Transcript

benefits of rental property martini mortgage mortgage group best raleigh mortgage lender

We all need a roof over our head, every night, when we put our head on the pillow to go to sleep.  Some people own that roof and some people rent that roof. Here is the challenge, some people rent because they do not know they can afford to buy and that is sad.  Others rent because it is right for them. 

It is true, homeownership is not right for everyone and that is OK however, I truly believe, if you want to create wealth and when I say wealth I mean generational wealth, you need to own real estate.

Welcome to episode 141 of the Martini Mortgage Podcast, my name is Kevin Martini and I am a Certified Mortgage Advisor with the Martini Mortgage Group which is located in Raleigh, North Carolina however myself along with my very talented crew of mortgage professionals help families in all 100 counties of North Carolina and pretty much in ever state in the U.S. too.  I am calling this special episode of the Martini Mortgage Podcast; The Big Opportunity. 

I want to start by sharing there is a time to rent however that time is not now.  But as I mentioned homeownership is not right for everyone.  I get sad when people rent because they do not think they have options to buy.  Let me share this fact.  Everyday I help families secure a home loan with less than a 20% down payment…everyday I help families secure a home loan with less than perfect credit and many first time home buyer are eligible for a first-time home buyer tax credit.  If you are a renter, you woe it to your self to explore the options and then make a decision if homeownership is right for you after you have all the facts because there is never a substitute for getting educated on your homeownership options. 

I share this so you know I am here and it is a big opportunity to explore your homeownership options if you are a renter but an even bigger idea or the ‘ big opportunity’ of this episode is to create generational wealth with a real estate rental portfolio that creates passive income, provides tax benefits and provides asset appreciation. 

Passive income, tax benefits and asset appreciation, OH MY!  Sound too good to be true but it is for many of the families I work with as their Certified Mortgage Advisor.  

Now before you start thinking of all the reasons why this episode of the Martini Mortgage Podcast is not right for you and before you start reciting in your mind all the reason why you cannot afford a piece of investment property let me share this fact with you…it is my opinion you cannot afford not to have a real estate investment portfolio even if it is just for one property. Please give me your ears to expand on this big opportunity.

Let me start with a fact, investors are behind 33% of the purchases of single family homes today in the U.S. so, this means 1 out of 3 single family homes are purchased by investors.  Now the Martini Mortgage Group has its headquarters in Raleigh, North Carolina and in Raleigh nearly 1 in every 4 properties are sold to an investor based on the most recent data which is from the 4th quarter of 2021. Yes, this is an amazing stat and it highlights a big opportunity for you and it is not too late for you take advantage of this big opportunity. 

I am a real estate investor and I share this not to impress but to impress upon you that I have first hand confirmation it is easier to make one-million dollars with real estate then it is at your 9 to 5 job.  To purchase all of my family investment properties I use one of the most powerful tools available and that is leverage. 

Simply put, leverage is the use of borrowed money to secure an assets to amplify the potential return on investment. Let me granular, let us say I want to purchase a single family home and make it an investment property…I put a 20% down payment and I secure a 80% mortgage.  My 20% down payment means I am leveraging 80%.  Oh by the way, the 20% down payment is used only for illustration of purchasing an investment property.  If you were purchasing a primary residence you may not even need a down payment or if one is needed it may only be 3 to 5% so your leverage could be as high as 100% to 95%.

Now that you have a working knowledge of leverage…let me start to chat about passive income, tax benefits and asset appreciation.

I believe, to become wealthy and to create generational wealth you need to have multiple forms of income streams.  One obviously income source is from your job, this is active income.  You have to actively do something like go to work and do your job for active income.  Then there is passive income.  I define passive income income as income earned outside of your job.  One way to earn passive income is by owning a rental property or properties vis-a-vis positive cash flow.  Let me illustrate…

You purchase a $250,000 rental property and you leveraged 80% of the purchase which means you put 20% down and that is $50,000 and you secured a $200,000 mortgage.  For illustration, let us assume a 7% interest rate for a 30-year fixed.  Again, this rate is only for illustration.  A $200,000 30-year fixed rate mortgage would have a principal and interest payment of mortgage of $1,331.60 a month. Let us assume that the property tax and the homeowner insurance is $3,000 a year which is $250 a month.  This means your total mortgage payment, in this hypothetical example, would be $1,582 a month.  

Let us assume that repairs and miscellaneous things like advertising the property cost you 2,400 a year.  No me, I factor in 1-moth or mortgage payment to cover for vacancy — so the operation costs would be, let me round up and say $4,000 or $334 a month.  

A conservative rental in Raleigh would be, let us just say $2,000 a month, perhaps that is too conservative but let me go with it.  

You are paying principal, interest, tax and insurance of $1582 with this high example rent and we are forecasting $334 a month for incidentals so that is $1,916 a month.  So worse case with this conservative rent of $2,000 you would have a passive income $84 a month or be positive cash flow of $1,000 a month.  

What if the rent was more realistic at 2,250 a month.  You would be creating $2,250 a year of passive income vis-a-vis positive cash flow from your rental property.  

But as they say in those informercials, but that is not all…

There may be the potential for major tax benefits for owning a rental property.  Know that I am a Certified Mortgage Advisor not a Certified Public Accountant so please consult with your tax prepare. With hat aid, for me, owning rental properties allows me to deduct my operating and owner expenses plus I get to depreciate the property and I have capital gain referral.

I do not want to go too deep into this but I do want to talk about the power of the depreciation deduction.  You see the current IRS code allows one that owns a rental property to depreciate it over 27 and half years.  Let me use that $250,000 rental home I mentioned earlier. $250,000 divided by 27.5 equals $9091.  You can use that depreciation to expenses to lower your tax liability along with your other expenses.

Yes, the tenant is paying for your mortgage and providing you with passive income with positive cash-flow, you are getting tax benefits and that is not all, you will also get asset appreciation through appreciation from your rental property. 

Before I dive deep into this, let me address two topics that are top of mind for some people are concerned about with real estate today.  Number one is some people are concerned that there will be a recession and the recession will impact home values negatively.  Some people fear we are approaching a a real estate bubble.

Let me address bubble…today we are in a materially different market than we were in 15-years ago.  The demand for homes today is real unlike the artificial demand created by lower lending standards before the great recession.  In short, it is my opinion the great recession in real estate was created by many unqualified borrowers being able to secure a home loan and that home loan went into foreclosure.  Today, you need more than a pulse to qualify for a mortgage and the bad industry actors have been flushed out however there is going to be a recession.  It is not if a recession will come because recessions are a natural part of the economic cycle and it will come however recession does not mean housing crisis nor does inflation mean lower home values.

As I am recording this episode, inflation in the U.S. is at a 40-year high. Owning real estate is a hedge against inflation. In fact, tangible assets, like real estate, tend to increase in periods of high inflation. 

Speaking of home values…

I have found the best and most accurate real estate value predictor is the Home Price Expectation Survey.  It is done every quarter and it is not one persons opinion on where home values will be headed.  A panel of over 100 plus economists, housing market analysis and investment strategist are survey and the result is the Home Price Expectation Survey.   

In the most recent survey, basically they are forecasting a cumulative 25% increase in home appreciation through the end of 2026.  Let me put share what that means using that $250,000 investment property we talked about earlier.  If you would have purchased it in January 2022 then by the end of 2026, according to the Home Price Expectation Survey it would be worth $346,342.  So during a period of 5-years, you potential growth in wealth, solely based on appreciation would be over just under $100,000. Then pepper in the passive income received and the tax benefits and you are creating generational wealth.

WOW, that was a lot wasn’t it. Now you know why I called this episode The Big Opportunity

I believe in owning your dream home and I help families secure the the right financing for their dream home.  I also believe in investment properties and I help families deploy the right financing strategy for their real estate investment portfolio.  I know it should always be home loa n first and then go find your house so with that said, let us connect to talk if investment property is right for you and your family.

My name is Kevin Martini and I am a Certified Mortgage Advisor with the Martini Mortgage Group. I  provide trusted advice with a frictionless process that offers great rates and certainty to you and your family. My number is 919.338.4934.

Looking forward to connect, stay safe out there and wishing you peace and blessings.

Now it is time for the disclaimer: 

This material has been prepared for marketing purposes only. This is not a loan commitment or guarantee of any kind. 

Loan approval and rate are dependent upon borrower credit, collateral, financial history, and program availability at time of origination. 

Rates and terms are subject to change without notice. 

The Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial is a division of Celebrity Home Loans, NMLS # 227765 with a Branch address of 507 N Blount St Raleigh, North Carolina 27604. 

You can contract Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager, Kevin Martini NMLS# 143962 by calling the Branch and that number is 919.238.4934. For a full list and more licensing information please visit: www.NMLSConsumerAccess.org or by visiting www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com – Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: Appreciation, Buy a Home, Home Price Expectation Survey, Home Values, Inflation, Leverage, Martini Mortgage Podcast, Mortgage, Mortgage Podcast, Raleigh, Real Estate Podcast, Rental Property, Tax Benefits Tagged With: Buy a rental Property, Buying a Home in North Carolina, Investment Property, Kevin Martini, Logan Martini, Martini Mortgage Group, Martini Mortgage Podcast, North Carolina, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate, Rental Property

The MartiniFactor | last week and this week with real estate and mortgage rates | April 29, 2022 Edition

April 25, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The MartiniFactor is produced by Raleigh Mortgage Broker Kevin Martini and it provides a glimpse of what happened last week in real estate and in the mortgage arena.  In addition, it shares thoughts on what to keep on the radar for the week ahead.

Last week (4/22/2022) & this week (4/29/2022)

LAST WEEK IN THE REAL ESTATE & MORTAGE MARKETS

Last week we saw data relating to home sales; Month-Over-Month existing Home Sales were down 2.7% and Year-Over-Year Existing Home Sales were down 4.7%.  This is the second month of decline for this metric however as you read this headline number, there may be concern however in you consider the current housing inventory and mortgage rates, the number was pretty good!  Inventory is down 9.5% Year-Over-Year and mortgage rates have moved 1% plus in 2022. On the aggregate, the headline number does not tell the complete story considering the external factors (e.g. inventory & mortgage rates).

Some important numbers from last week:

The median home price was reported at $357,300, which is up 15% year over year.  It is important to note, median home price is NOT the same as appreciation and ‘median’ is defined as the middle number is a sorted list of numbers. When there is a mix of sales prices, this number is distorted.

THIS WEEK IN THE REAL ESTATE & MORTAGE MARKETS

The big news this week that could disrupt markets will likely come from the G20 Meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is expected to attend the G20.

More news on the health of housing this week as the Case-Shiller Home Price Index , Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index. And Pending Home Sales data is released.

This week there will be an estimate for the 1st Quarter GDP along with critical inflation data which will be reported via Personal Consumption Expenditures index.  Remember that Raleigh mortgage rates live in the bond market and the nemesis to bonds is inflation because inflation erodes the yield of a bond –  the result is higher inflation means higher home loan rates.

THE MARTINI MORTGAGE GROUP BOTTOM LINE

Be prepared for more volatility and remember, right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. The Martini Mortgage Group is here to talk about what you have just read and here to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: Buy a Home, Federal Reserve, Home Loan Rates, Home Values, MartiniFactor, Mortgage, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh

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    Martini Mortgage Group at Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation | NMLS # 3446 | For licensing information go to: www.nmlsConsumerAccess.org and/or www.GoldStarFinancial.com Please review our Disclosures & Licensing information | Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group Corporation has no affiliation with the US Department of Housing and Urban Development, the US Department of Veterans Affairs, the US Department of Agriculture or any other government agency. Equal Housing Lender. For further information about Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation, please visit our website at www.GoldStarFinancial.com. Receipt of application does not represent an approval for financing or interest rate guarantee. Applicant subject to credit, acceptable appraisal, title, and underwriting approval. Not all applicants will be approved. Other terms and conditions apply. Contact Gold Star Mortgage Financial Group, Corporation for more information and up-to-date rates.

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      to Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | TCPA Consent * By submitting you agree to our Privacy Policy, Online Policy, TCPA Disclosure & Consent for SMS/Texting. Msg/data rates may apply. This consent applies even if you are on a corporate, state or national Do Not Call list. By checking this box, you expressly consent that Martini Mortgage Group may call, text and email you about your inquiry. This may involve the use of automated means and prerecorded/artificial voices. This consent is not a condition to purchase any products or services. You are providing express written consent under the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) to be contacted by Martini Mortgage Group. You may revoke this consent at any time by replying 'STOP' to any text message you receive or by contacting us at +1(919) 238-4934.

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