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The MartiniFactor | last week and this week with real estate and mortgage rates | April 8, 2022 Edition

April 4, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The MartiniFactor provides a glimpse of what happened last week in real estate and in the mortgage arena.  In addition, it shares thoughts on what to keep on the radar for the week ahead.

last week (4/1/2022) & this week (4/8/2022)

LAST WEEK

Employment Data

On Friday, April 1, 2022, we learned that 431,000 jobs were created in March of 2022. The market was expecting 500,000 jobs however there were upward revisions to the January and February reports which made up for the miss and confirmed that hob creation was strong.

Inflation 

This past week we saw data on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). The PCE is the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation.  The headline number indicated that inflation is on the rise since it rose 0.6% in February. Year-over-year the PCE increased from 6% to 6.4% which is the highest level in 40 years.  Core PCE strips out volatile energy and foods prices  and that was up 0.4%…year-over-year, Core PCE increased from 5.2 to 5.4%

 The nemesis to mortgage rates in Raleigh is inflation. 

Raleigh Mortgage Lender & Certified Mortgage Advisor Kevin Martini

Housing News

The Case-Schiller Home Price Index, which measures the changes in sales prices of single-family homes certain markets showed a home prices increased 1.1% in January and 19.2% year-over-year.  The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), measures home price appreciation on single-family homes with conventional (a.k.a. conforming) loans rose 1.6% in January and 18.2% year-over-year.

THINGS ON THE MARTINI MORTGAGE GROUP RADAR THIS WEEK

The economic calendar is relatively quiet this week after last week’s wealth of data. Many are thinking that the Federal Reserve could move interest rates significantly higher than the markets currently expect. The Martini Mortgage Group will be  paying close attention to the minutes from last month’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, scheduled for release this Wednesday. 

Raleigh mortgage rates have already increased by more than 1% since the beginning of the year. Even so, the market may take a little break from the recent volatility due to a relatively quiet economic calendar this week. That doesn’t mean the volatility is over.  

The Martini Mortgage Group Bottom Line

Right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. The Martini Mortgage Group is here to talk about what you have just read and here to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: MartiniFactor, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Uncategorized Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Buying a home this spring, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Group, MartiniFactor, Mortgage Markets, Mortgage Tips, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Company, Real Estate Markets

Your home search, things to consider.

March 28, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The first step to homeownership is the home loan and the second step is go find your home after you have price and cost clarity of the mortgage.  After getting approved for the mortgage and before the start of the home search one needs to create a list of  ‘must haves’, ‘should haves’ and ‘absolute with list’ with their real estate professional.  

Raleigh mortgage lender and Certified Mortgage Advisor Kevin Martin discusses your home search, things to consider in episode 135 of the Martini Mortgage Podcast.

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Transcript of Martini Mortgage Podcast (Episode 135)

There is no question, buying a home is a process not an event.  The process is not painful if you follow the proper steps.  The process always starts with getting approved for you home loan with a Certified Mortgage Advisor not with finding your home.   It is not just nice but required to have price and cost clarity about your home loan before you fall in love with a home.  

My name is Kevin Martini and I am not just a Raleigh mortgage lender, I am a Certified Mortgage Advisor with the Martini Mortgage Group which is located in Raleigh, North Carolina and I help families looking for the right mortgage strategy in all 100 counties of North Carolina and in many states across the U.S. 

Thank you for tuning into episode 136 of the Martini Mortgage Podcast.  I am calling this episode,  your home search, things to consider.

So, you are starting to look for a home.  There is no question that looking for a home today is materially different than when my parents purchased their first home and heck, it is very different from when I purchased my first home.  

When my wife and I purchased our first home it was 1991.  Now there was no internet like we know it today.  So no portal like Zillow or no portal like realtor.com — there was no custom search that my real estate agent could set me up with.  If there was she would have to have fax it to my wife and I.   So the question you must be asking is how the heck did we find our home?

You see,  back then, once a week my real estate agent would get a book that was maybe about an inch thick.  It showed all the listings…each page had about 4 or 5 listings.  I came out on Wednesday.  I recall that day of the week vividly  because we would know that Wednesday evening or Thursday was the day we need to preview the hot new listings.  Now sometimes my agent knew of an office listing so she used my beeper.  

OH MY GOSH am I old or what, I bet some people listening right now do not even know what a beeper is!  Let me share there was a beeper code that was used after a number — so when my agents number popped up and it was followed by a 911 that meant you best find a germ infested payphone and dumped a quarter into it and call your agent turbo fast.  OH MY GOSH AGAIN, I bet some listening have not ever used a pay phone — now I am really feeling old….however…being old beats the alternative!

Seriously some old school techniques that my wife, Ronni and  I created are timeless in todays digital world.  Ronni and I learned very quickly there really was not a need to see every house that hit the market — it was our job to educate our trusted real estate agent with what our wants were and what our needs were.   

It sounds supper simple doesn’t it? We made sure that our Realtor knew first our primary search area and secondary search area.  Then we made sure our Realtor truly understood our needs and wants.  Yes there is a difference between a need and a want.

It is my opinion and the opinion of my real estate partners that I partner that it is  REALLY important to know what you are looking for when you start your home search.  Now many can argue what the first step of your home search should be…I believe the first step is know that you are buyer able and to have clarity of the economics before you start determining what you need or want in a home.  

YES, before you log on to one of the many real estate sites like Zillow or Trulia, knowing first what you can afford AND knowing what you can afford fits into your personal family budget is not just nice but required in my opinion.  

At the Martini Mortgage Group we believe that pre-qualification letters are nice but irrelevant that is why, with the families we serve we get them pre-approved.  When you are pre-approved it is like making a ‘same-as—cash’ offer.

Can you imagine the pain of walking into a house that you simply love however you find out that it is out of your qualification zone?  

I have seen this happen and it is painful for a family.  Sure, buying a home is a process not an event however the process does not need to be painful it can actually be an amazing process and there is material value to know before you owe.  

An added benefit to understanding and having clarity of the economics is you will see all the homes that match your price point and when you fall in love with the right place that meets your needs and wants you will be able to communicate to the Seller that you are not just ready and willing…you are able! Sharing that you are able is exactly what a specific pre-approval letter from the Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial does.  

Now I have mentioned the term needs and wants a lot during this episode.  Here is a news flash……it is very rare that the home you select will check off all of your wants and needs.

There is no question…I would love to have a home theater with a comfortable couch and a popcorn machine.  Perhaps you may want a kitchen with a farm sink in your new home just like the one you saw on Pinterest last week.  Now do I really need to have a home theater and do you really need to have a farm sink to be happy in your home — the answer is no.  If you have been listening to the Martini Mortgage Podcast you know that I believe it does not matter how big the house is,  it is all about how happy the home is.  

I think the number one cause of money stress is when expenses exceed income.  To help relieve this stress for you and your family is why I believe the first step in your home buying process should be to get pre-approved for your mortgage.  

So what is the next step? Step number two is to list all the features of a home that you would like  and to qualify them as follows:

  1. Must haves 
  2. Should haves
  3. Absolute-Wish List 

Let me define each of them for you.

What is a ‘Must Haves’ — if the home does not have these items, then it shouldn’t even be considered. For example, if you want to  have a commute no more than 20 minutes to work then you should not even look at homes that are 40 minutes from work.  If you need a first floor master, then there is no reason to look at homes where all the bedrooms are on the 2nd floor.  Does this make sense?

Then there is the ‘Should Haves’ – if and only if the property hits all of the ‘Must Haves’ — an example of the should have to me would be a split floor plan or an open kitchen. 

Finally, there is the ‘Absolute-Wish List’ – if you find a property in your budget that has your Musts and Shoulds and then has bonus features that you dreamed about  it is a winner.  An example would be the movie theater I spoke about earlier.  

Here is the Kevin Martini bottom line.  

Being ready and willing to buy a home is irrelevant unless you are able.  Know your options and get pre-approved.  If you are looking to call home in the Triangle of North Carolina or anywhere in North Carolina then the Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial  can help.  No let us say you live in Texas or Florida or California or South Carolina  or anywhere in the U.S. — you need to know that the Martini Mortgage Group has a community of trusted mortgage professionals so,  simply give me a call and I will help you and your family.

After you are pre-approved and before you start the search it would behoove you to have a you must-haves and your should haves prepped…this will save you time and a ton of frustration. 

It is as simple as this…get approved and have a laser focus on the economics first. Think about this for a hot second…when you purchased your car, did you buy your car based on the price on the window sticker or did you buy it based on the monthly payment you would have to make.  

When you work with a Certified Mortgage Strategist we can reverse engineer you desired payment into a price point.  Then you communicate that price point to your realtor by deploying this reverse engineering  and being transparent with your Realtor, you will see all home within your price range and you will never fall in love  with a home that is outside your comfort zone.  

Here is a crazy audio nugget, it is not what you qualify for, it is what you are comfortable paying every month.

Now that the economics are taken care of, it is critical to understand you what you home needs to have and what you want you home to have. 

Thank you for tuning in and remember our family is your family lender.  

In closing, getting qualified and ultimately approved for the right home loan and getting mortgage for your home is NOT like shopping for the lowest priced gas for your car. 

Listen, every mortgage company secures the money from the same source so everyone at the end of the day has the same mortgage rates however not everyone provides trusted advice with a secure digital mortgage platform that provides certainty like the Martini Mortgage Group provides.  In addition, our job is not done after closing since it is our obligation, duty and responsibility to manage your mortgage for you after closing.

Thank you for tuning in to episode 136 of the Martini Mortgage Podcast which is called your home search, things to consider.

Thank you in advance for sharing this episode with someone you care about that may benefit from its contact.

Remember this, it is never too soon to explore your homeownership options…it is never too late to explore your homeownership options either.  If homeownership is right for you and your family then know this…the first step is always the loan not the home.  

There is never a substitute for having price and cost clarity before you start looking for a home. Get pre-approved before your home search not just pre-qualified!  To a seller a pre-qualification says you are just ready and willing whereas a pre-approval with a Certified Mortgage Advisor with the Martini Group says you are ready, willing and able.  It also communicates to the seller you are making a ‘same-as-cash’ offer and that is important to share in any market, especially in a tight real estate market like we are in today.

If you want trusted advice with a digital mortgage process that offer a great rate with certainty check out my website by going to: www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com – you can find some real world information in the learning center  and you can also securely apply online or book an appointment with me.

Now it is time for the disclaimer: 

This material has been prepared for marketing purposes only. This is not a loan commitment or guarantee of any kind. Loan approval and rate are dependent upon borrower credit, collateral, financial history, and program availability at time of origination. Rates and terms are subject to change without notice. The Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial is a division of Celebrity Home Loans, NMLS # 227765 with a Branch address of 507 N Blount St Raleigh, North Carolina 27604. You can contract Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager, Kevin Martini NMLS# 143962 by calling the Branch and that number is 919.238.4934. For a full list and more licensing information please visit: www.NMLSConsumerAccess.org or by visiting www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com – Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: Mortgage Podcast, Real Estate, Real Estate Podcast, Uncategorized Tagged With: Buying a home, Certified Mortgage Advisor, Hoem Search, Kevin Martini, Mortgage Podcast, Podcast, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Lender, Real Estate, Real Estate Podcast, Things to Consider when Buying a Home

The MartiniFactor | last week and this week with real estate and mortgage rates | April 1, 2022 Edition

March 28, 2022 by Kevin Martini

The MartiniFactor provides a glimpse of what happened last week in real estate and in the mortgage arena.  In addition, it shares 3 things to keep on the radar for the week ahead.

last week (3/25/2022) & this week (4/1/2022)

LAST WEEK

New Home Sales and Pending Home Sales

If you just look at the headlines and don’t read the full story, it is understandable one could be scared about real estate.  Last week reports were released that showed a decline in New Home Sales and Pending Home Sales too – OH MY! It is critical to know the major reason for the decline was not a deceleration of demand but low supply.

Let me get granular on Pending Home Sales, they fell 4.1% in February, which was weaker than expected and comparing February of 2021 to February 2022, Pending Home Sales were down 5.4%.  Sure, one could say the decline was caused by higher mortgage rates, but I do not think so.  The real story behind the decline is inventory.

The Fed and Raleigh Mortgage Rates

There was a lot of Fed chatter last week.  Here is what one needs to know, the Fed has 2 tools on their belt to tighten the economy and they are: 1) increase their benchmark Fed Funds Rate and 2) reduce their balance sheet. 

Over time, it is my opinion, the Fed raising the Fed Funds Rate will be a good thing for Raleigh mortgage rates because the Fed should be able to curb inflation and preserve fixed return on mortgage bonds.  You see, mortgage rates live in the bond market and inflation is the nemesis to a bond.  With inflation in check, Raleigh home loan rates will improve but from a historical perspective, Raleigh mortgage rates are still very low.

As a primer, the Fed purchased $2.9 trillion of mortgage bonds since March 2020. As the Fed plans to reduce it mortgage bond holdings in the coming months it could cause Raleigh mortgage rates to increase.

3 THINGS ON THE MARTINI MORTGAGE GROUP RADAR THIS WEEK

Major Economic Reports on the State of the Jobs Market

The closely-watched jobs report is scheduled for release this Friday (4/1/2022). In addition to looking at the unemployment rate and the number of jobs created in March, the market will closely examine the “average earnings” component of Friday’s jobs report. It’s widely expected that wages will have jumped by roughly 5.5% year-over-year. Meanwhile, the ADP employment report is due for release on Wednesday, and this is often interpreted as a sneak peek into Friday’s official numbers. Also, the JOLTS Job Openings report is due for release on Tuesday and is expected to show over 11 million job openings in the economy, the highest numbers on record.

PCE Inflation Reports

The Fed’s favorite measurement of inflation is the PCE inflation report and we’ll get two perspectives on that this week. On Wednesday, we’ll get the quarterly inflation numbers for Q4 2021, and on Thursday we’ll get the monthly inflation numbers for February. Both reports are expected to show up to 5.5% year-over-year annual consumer inflation.

The Fed’s Reaction

The Federal Reserve indicated in recent weeks it will be removing its pandemic-era stimulus programs and increasing interest rates more aggressively, starting with its monetary policy meeting in May. This caused bond prices to plummet across the entire global bond market with mortgage rates jumping by more than 1% since the beginning of the year according to the Freddie Mac weekly survey of mortgage rates. The volatility is likely to continue as the market continues to react.

The Martini Mortgage Group Bottom Line

Right now, real estate and the current mortgage rate environment remains an opportunity. The Martini Mortgage Group is here to talk about what you have just read and here to help you on the path to buying you home. Contact the Martini Mortgage Group by dialing (919) 238-4934.

Kevin Martini | NMLS 143962 | Certified Mortgage Advisor and Producing Branch Manager | Martini Mortgage Group at PCL Financial Group (powered by Celebrity Home Loans, LLC NMLS 227765) | 507 N Blount St Raleigh, NC 27604 | (919) 238-4934 | www.MartiniMortgageGroup.com | Kevin@MartiniMortgageGroup.com | nmlsconsumeraccess.org | Equal Housing Lender

Filed Under: MartiniFactor, Mortgage Rates, Raleigh, Real Estate, Uncategorized Tagged With: Buying a Home in North Carolina, Buying a Home in Raleigh, Buying a home this spring, Kevin Martini, Martini Mortgage Group, MartiniFactor, Mortgage Markets, Mortgage Tips, Raleigh, Raleigh Mortgage Broker, Raleigh Mortgage Company, Real Estate Markets

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